evilregis

These are the plays that floor me at the 2NL level.

UTG+1, villain limps. CO tries to come along. Obviously with KK in the BB I’m not about to let anyone limp in with trash so I pop it up my standard 4xbb + 1bb/limper. UTG+1 calls.

This is the first hand I’ve played with this particular player so I have nothing on him. No reads. No HUD stats. Nothing. I don’t know his limp range or his limp/call range. Flop is good for me against most of his range and decide to bet out about 2/3 pot.

When villain calls, I put him on possibly a couple draws or small pair (34c-KQc, suited one-gappers, possibly straight draws, 55-AA, 67, 78– I figure he’d raise QQ+ pf), but as I said, I’m ahead of most of his range here and have over 70% equity depending how I massage the given range.

I’m not a huge fan of the 9 on the turn. That could complete some straights I have in his range. Could’ve also given him a full house. I think I still have to assume I’m good here against an unknown more often than not so I bet out again.

Being short-stacked I fully expected him (and hoped for him) to shove here. I was trying to get all our money in the middle.

Given his range of 99+,77,55,AKs,Ac9c,A7s,JTs,T9s,98s,9c7c,87s,76s,6c5c I have 58% equity in this hand at this point and with only having to call $.95 to win $4.05. I need about 23% to call.

Villain turns over T7o! WTF?! Limps in EP. Flat calls a 6xbb raise. With T7o. I’m crushed with only a 4.5% chance to win… and I two-outted him.

Sweet justice. After those last two hands replayed below, I needed a suckout of my own.

Perhaps my 3-week downturn has come to an end! (Hint: no it hasn’t — more to come)